Though the year-over-year home price index for August will likely show a 20% increase, Bill McBride reports an upcoming deceleration in house price growth in his CalculatedRisk Newsletter.
After months of steady price increases, August is seeing a slight drop-off, signaling a decline in median home prices for September and October.
Yesterday, the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) reported that median house prices were up 13.3% year-over-year (YoY) in September. This is down from the peak growth rate of 23.6% YoY in May 2021.
Last month, Case-Shiller reported that the National Index was up 19.7% YoY in July (record YoY increase for Case-Shiller). The Case-Shiller index for August will be released this coming Tuesday, October 26th and will likely show prices up about 20% YoY (similar to July).